Osae-Kwapong: I wasn’t expecting NDC’s landslide victory

John Osae-Kwapong, a political analyst and fellow at the Ghana Centre for Democratic Development (CDD-Ghana), has expressed surprise at the National Democratic Congress’ (NDC) overwhelming victory in the 2024 general elections.

Speaking on the Asaase Breakfast Show (ABS) on Monday (9 December), Osae-Kwapong shared his analysis of the unexpected outcome, which defied his initial projections of a tight race.

“If you look at some of the indicators—so some of the economic challenges that the country has faced, if you think of the fact that we are at the end of that eight-year cycle where we rotate parties, if you look at some of the sentiments that were expressed in the most recent Afrobarometer survey, then conventional wisdom would say this is an election the NDC will win,” he said.

Osae-Kwapong explained that while Afrobarometer’s tenth round, released in October, revealed dissatisfaction with policies like the E-levy, it also highlighted significant public support for key government initiatives.

“I can see then how Dr. [Mahamudu] Bawumia can seize on that to make the case that look as per Afrobarometer, Ghanaians are clamouring for these key policies to continue and who is better placed to continue them but the person who has been part of the government that came up with these policies,” he noted.

“So I came to the conclusion that if anything at all, it would be competitive; even if the NDC wins, it will be a close race. If someway somehow Dr. Bawumia is able to pull it off, it will still be a close race.”

Reflecting on the results trickling in, Osae-Kwapong suggested that voter frustration over governance and economic hardships played a pivotal role in the NDC’s decisive win.

“I wasn’t expecting the kind of landslide victory that the results that have trickled in so far is showing, which also then makes me think that some of the angst or some of the displeasures that Ghanaians had been expressing about certain things around governance and economic issues that they took that anger out at the ballot,” he remarked.

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